Friday, April 13, 2007
JETBLUE AIRWAYS TRAFFIC RESULTS
*Very very  very nice number
 And...the number say....B6 did okay! 19.9% more  "rev" pax's is very respectable when compared with an 11.3% increase  in "avail" seats. The airline is growing very quickly, 36% more departures is a  lot, but the stage length (average miles of a B6 flight) fell 12.5% which is  "spot on" because they introduced a new smaller aircraft, the EMB-190. Smaller  aircraft, 36% more flights, is in sync with 11.3% more avail seats. The only  scary number here is the anemic -1% load factor, a big negative when considering  36% growth--19.9% more $$ "pax" and 11.3% more available seats. It is scary  because B6 actually slowed growth and deferred aircraft (capacity)---if they had  stayed with the intended growth plan, these numbers would have been very messy.  But management did a good job, but B6 can only delay aircraft orders and defer  growth for so long (their business model is not geared for just stopping  growth)---they are going to have to start looking inward to shave costs, and  that gets really ugly. One other factor which is scary, is that B6 removed seats  from airplanes during this period---thus reducing the capacity they already had.  They are not generating enough new passengers to sustain their growth model  and/or they are not discovering new routes that are paved in gold.    
 The Year to Date numbers below are pretty close  to the month-to-month, but again you have that 
 -3.6% load factor, which ain't good....and does  not bode well for the future growth model.
 
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